Hola a todos,Flanaghan dijo:Lil: La gripe aviar se transmite de aves a cerdos y, posteriormente, de cerdos a hombres, pero no de hombre a hombre. El problema estribaría en que, si el virus muta y "aprende" a contagiarse entre humanos, iba a ser una gripe seria. De todos modos, qué prudencia la de los responsables de la ONU vaticinando 150 millones de muertos. En fin, a vacunarse, aunque los mayores problemas los iban a tener, naturalmente, los mayores.
Flanaghan, en los KEY FACTS del CDC no hablan de cerdos en la cadena de contagio sino de aves a personas pero si he leido en algun articulo (haber si lo encuentro y lo cuelgo) que es un virus similar el responsable de la gripe del cerdo. El CDC da por hecho que algunos casos ya se han contagiado de humanos a humanos.
http://www.cdc.gov/flu/avian/gen-info/facts.htmWhat is the risk to humans from the H5N1 virus in Asia?
The H5N1 virus does not usually infect humans. In 1997, however, the first case of spread from a bird to a human was seen during an outbreak of bird flu in poultry in Hong Kong. The virus caused severe respiratory illness in 18 people, 6 of whom died. Since that time, there have been other cases of H5N1 infection among humans. Most recently, human cases of H5N1 infection have occurred in Thailand, Vietnam and Cambodia during large H5N1 outbreaks in poultry. The death rate for these reported cases has been about 50 percent. Most of these cases occurred from contact with infected poultry or contaminated surfaces; however, it is thought that a few cases of human-to-human spread of H5N1 have occurred.So far, spread of H5N1 virus from person to person has been rare and spread has not continued beyond one person. However, because all influenza viruses have the ability to change, scientists are concerned that the H5N1 virus could one day be able to infect humans and spread easily from one person to another. Because these viruses do not commonly infect humans, there is little or no immune protection against them in the human population. If the H5N1 virus were able to infect people and spread easily from person to person, an “influenza pandemic” (worldwide outbreak of disease) could begin. No one can predict when a pandemic might occur. However, experts from around the world are watching the H5N1 situation in Asia very closely and are preparing for the possibility that the virus may begin to spread more easily and widely from person to person.
Algun moderador podria traducir el documento entero y publicarlo,please?